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Fb2 State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis) ePub

by Jeff Tayman,Stanley K. Smith

Category: Engineering
Subcategory: Engineering and Transport
Author: Jeff Tayman,Stanley K. Smith
ISBN: 0306464926
ISBN13: 978-0306464928
Language: English
Publisher: Springer; 2002 edition (April 30, 2001)
Pages: 426
Fb2 eBook: 1920 kb
ePub eBook: 1801 kb
Digital formats: lrf mobi rtf txt

and projections, Methods of estimation and projection for business and health care applications, Methods and . Get the table of contents of every new volume published in The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis.

and projections, Methods of estimation and projection for business and health care applications, Methods and estimates for unique populations such as schools and students.

Causal Analysis in Population Studies THE SPRINGER SERIES ON DEMOGRAPHIC METHODS AND . This book was not easy to write.

Causal Analysis in Population Studies THE SPRINGER SERIES ON DEMOGRAPHIC METHODS AND POPULATION ANALYSIS - pdf free download. The Demography of Health and Health Care (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis). A number of methods can be used for state and local projections, each involving a variety of potential data sources and application techniques. Deciding which ones to include-and how to present them-was a difficult task.

The new book by Smith, Tayman and Swanson is the first in many years to compile the major components of. .The book further instructs the reader how to use projections objectively

The new book by Smith, Tayman and Swanson is the first in many years to compile the major components of small-area population projections(data sources, methodology and evaluation) in one place. The book is particularly good in describing the fundamentals of population analysis - which many other articles, chapters and books on projections neglect. Additionally, important advanced elements of population projections that are not commonly touched on, such as special adjustments, are addressed nicely here. The book further instructs the reader how to use projections objectively.

Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman, David A. Swanson. Download (pdf, . 6 Mb) Donate Read. Epub FB2 mobi txt RTF. Converted file can differ from the original. If possible, download the file in its original format.

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component.

Book · January 2016 with 13 Reads. How we measure 'reads'. The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections.

1 result for ysis-by-stanley . by Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman, et al. 17 September 2016.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections.

Population Projections, chapter 21 in Jacob Siegel and David Swanson (ed., The Methods and Materials of.Although many of the factors affecting the methodology and analysis of population projections are the same for all geographic areas, there are important differences as well., The Methods and Materials of Demography. San Diego: Elsevier Academic Press, 2004.

Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population . Published December 31, 1899 by Springer There's no description for this book yet.

Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis). Published December 31, 1899 by Springer.

The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Comments to eBook State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis)
SlingFire
The book does a nice job of describing the nitty gritty of the cohort-component model for population projections. This is the primary method used for developing population projections, but was originally developed for looking at national populations. The authors do an excellent job of discussing the challenges involved in adapting this model for smaller areas (as small as census tracts and block groups) in terms of data availability, data quality, and how the relative importance of the different components of the cohort-component model change as smaller geographic areas are considered. In addition, their advice on how to allocate effort to different components of the model is very helpful, as is their discussion of how and why population projections can vary based on the assumptions made by the analyst (which is where the aspect of "art" comes into play). The only thing I so far think they may have missed is the use of zip+4 codes (specifically the number of those codes used) in an area that can be a fairly inexpensive way of getting up to data information for assessing net migration for that area.
Chuynopana
interesting introduction to a complex topic
Buridora
Required reading for applied demographers.
Nikok
This is a Simple Straight forward book. Tells it like it is. The Book is bit old but keeps these general laws of demographics. I actually have Tayman as a professor so hearing his descriptions are very interesting.
roternow
The new book by Smith, Tayman and Swanson is the first in many years to compile the major components of small-area population projections(data sources, methodology and evaluation) in one place.
The book is particularly good in describing the fundamentals of population analysis - which many other articles, chapters and books on projections neglect. Additionally, important advanced elements of population projections that are not commonly touched on, such as special adjustments, are addressed nicely here.
The book further instructs the reader how to use projections objectively. Too often, forecasts that are not 100% accurate are dismissed. In fact, as the book describes, imperfect forecasts still provide considerable utility in presenting alternatives, promoting agendas, sounding warnings and providing a base for other projections. To this end, the book provides a unique service in not only describing how to make small-area projections, but what to do with them.
In addition to the conventional techniques and concepts described, the authors present the latest developments in the field of projections, including structural models, GIS applications and innovative evaluative techniques.
I would strongly recommend this book as both a textbook - particularly for demography, planning, and economics students, as well as a resource for professional planners, administrators and scientists that rely on population projections.
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